California Fire Economics Simulator Version 2

Developer's Home Page

Purpose and Terms

This page provides public access to the current version of the CFES2 software and users guide. CFES2 and the accompanying users guide are copyrighted works of the University of California and Jeremy Fried; however, because development was funded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection and the University of California, all are welcome to use these resources free of charge. If you find the program useful, we would appreciate a brief e-mail message describing how you use it and what you like about it. The authors are receptive to constructive comments concerning changes that users would find useful. No warrantees, express or implied, accompany this software. All risk and responsibility is with the user. Beyond the information available on this web site, no free support is provided for CFES2.

Note that CFES2 was developed as a Turbo Pascal program for the 16-bit MS-DOS operating system circa 1989. It does not run in Windows 10. The author recalls running it successfully in Windows versions as recent as XP, and possibly in the 32-bit version of Windows 7. To the developer's knowledge, CFES2 has never run successfully in a 64 bit operating system.

The links below allow downloading of the latest CFES2 software, users manual and supporting publications. Acrobat Reader 5.0 or higher is required to view the users manual.

CFES2 Links

CFES2 Software via http (right click, choose "save link as" to save the file to your computer)

To install CFES2, extract the zip file into a temporary directory; this will include the entire CFES2 package: executable, users manual, support and documentation files, to a temporary directory (e.g., C:\cfesinst). Then, find and run the file cfesinst.exe in that directory to complete the install.

CFES2 Users Manual Only as Acrobat PDF file

CFES Publications (partial list)

  1. Fried, J.S., J.K. Gilless, W.J. Riley, T.J. Moody, C. Simon de Blas, K. Hayhoe, M. Moritz, S. Stephens, and M.S. Torn. 2008. Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire behavior and initial attack success. . Climatic Change 87 (Suppl 1):S251S264.

  2. Lee, Y., J.S. Fried, R.G. Haight, H.J, Albers. 2013. Deploying initial attack resources for wildfire suppression: spatial coordination, budget constraints, and capacity constraints. . Canadian Journal of Forest Research 43(1):56-65.

  3. Haight, R.G. and J.S. Fried. 2007. Optimizing Initial-Attack Force with a Standard-Response Siting Model.. Information Systems and Operations Research. 45(1):385-398.

  4. Fried, J.S., J.K. Gilless and J. Spero. 2006. Analyzing initial attack on wildland fires using stochastic simulation. International J. of Wildland Fire 15(1):137-146.

  5. Gilless, J.K. and J.S. Fried. 2000. Generating beta random variables from probabilistic PERT/CPM-type estimates of production times: an application in planning for wildland fire control. Annals of Operations Research 95:205-215.

  6. Gilless, J.K. and J.S. Fried. 1999. Stochastic representation of fire behavior in a wildland fire protection planning model for California. Forest Science 45(4):492-499.

  7. Fried, J.S. and B.D. Fried. 1996. Simulating Wildfire Containment with Realistic Tactics. Forest Science 42:267-281. (To obtain software and data associated with this article, click here)

  8. Fried, J.S. and J.K. Gilless, 1993. Simulating initial attack: stochastic formulation brings risk consideration to fire protection planning.Proceedings of the International Symposium on Systems Analysis and Management Decisions in Forestry, Valdivia, Chile, March 8-12, 1993 pp. 76-94.

  9. Gilless, J.K. and J. S. Fried. 1991. Implementation of a wildland fire protection planning system by a state resource management agency: simulation proves more useful than optimization. pp. 312-319 in Proceedings of the 1991 Symposium on Systems Analysis in Forest Resources, Charleston, South Carolina. March 3-7, 1991.  USDA Forest Service General Technical Report SE-74.

  10. Fried, J.S. and J.K. Gilless. 1989. Expert opinion estimation of fireline production rates. Forest Science, 35:870-877.

  11. Fried, J.S. and J.K. Gilless. 1988. Stochastic representation of fire occurrence in a wildland fire protection planning model for California. Forest Science 34(4):948-955.

  12. Fried, J.S. and J.K. Gilless. 1988. Modification of an initial attack simulation model to include stochastic components. pp. 235-246 in Proceedings of the 1988 Symposium on Systems Analysis in Forest Resources, Asilomar Conference Center, Pacific Grove, California, March 29 - April 1, 1988.  USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-161.


This page is administered by CFES2's developer, Jeremy Fried, who can be reached at usfs <at> (replacing the <at> with @).
last update 17 January, 2020 by jsf